Knowing what is — or importantly, what isn’t — a good price to pay for Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX:BEN) shares can seem confusing, especially in the current environment. Below, I’ll explain what to look at for a company such as BEN, just like an expert.
Bendigo and Adelaide Bank was formed following the merger of Bendigo Bank and Adelaide Bank in November 2007. The bank operates primarily within the retail banking space and has a network of more than 500 branches and agencies across Australia, predominantly on the East Coast and South Australia.
How to do your homework before buying BEN shares today
Focus on culture
Culture and workplace satisfaction are more than just a ‘fluffy’ modern corporate gimmicks. Good workplace culture leads to improved retention of high-quality staff and that ultimately determines the long-term success of a company.
One way Australian investors can take a ‘look inside’ a company like Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd is to use Seek company reviews data. According to the most recent data we pulled on BEN the company’s overall workplace culture rating of 3/5 was below the sector average of 3.23.
Banks like BEN need debt and good margins to make their model profitable. In basic terms, a bank will take money from term deposit holders and ‘wholesale debt investors’ to lend that money out to homeowners, businesses and investors. The difference between what a bank pays to savers and what it makes from mortgage holders (for example) is the net interest margin or NIM. When it comes to NIMs, the wider the margin, the better.
When you’re forecasting the profits of a bank like BEN or Bank of Queensland Limited (ASX:BOQ), knowing how much the bank lends and what it makes per dollar lent is essential. That’s why the NIM is arguably the most important measure of a bank’s profitability. Across all of the ASX’s major banks, we calculated the average NIM was 2.01% whereas the bank’s lending margin was 2.36%, which means the bank was able to produce a better-than-average return from lending money to customers versus its peers.
The reason for studying the NIM so closely is because Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd earned 82% of its total income from lending last year.
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Return on balance sheet equity
Return on equity or ‘ROE’ for short compares the yearly profit of a bank against its total shareholder equity as shown on its balance sheet. The higher the ROE the better. Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd’s ROE in the latest full year stood at 7.4%, meaning for every $100 of shareholder equity in the bank it produced $7.40 in yearly profit. Unfortunately, this amount was below the banking sector average of 10.4%.
Expectations for capital raisings & capital structure
When it comes to safety and risk management, for banks, the CET1 ratio (common equity tier one) is paramount. CET1 represents the bank’s ‘safety capital’ or ‘buffer’ to protect it against complete financial collapse. In the most recent full year, Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd had a CET1 ratio of 8.92%. This was below the sector average and below the commonly accepted ‘unquestionably strong’ level of 10%.
Dividends & valuations
A DDM or dividend discount model is one of the best ways to value a bank’s shares. To do a DDM we have to estimate the bank’s dividends going forward and then apply a risk rating. Using this simple DDM, let’s assume the bank’s dividend payment grows at a steady rate into the future (i.e. forever) somewhere between 1.5% and 3%. For the risk rating, we will use risk rates between 9% and 14% and then average the valuations.
And the result? Our simple DDM valuation of BEN shares is $7.51. However, using an ‘adjusted’ dividend payment of $0.40 per share, the valuation goes to $4.55. The valuation compares to BEN’s current share price of $7.32.
Ultimately, although the shares might seem expensive using our simple DDM model, don’t make a decision based on this article. Please go away now and consider all of the risks and ideas we presented here. While you’re at it, you might also consider a diversified shares ETF, dividend fund or at least grab a copy of our free investment report below.