ASX 200 (XJO) morning report – APT, WOW & LNK shares in focus

The S&P/ASX 200 (ASX: XJO) is tipped to edge lower when the market opens on Friday according to the Sydney Futures Exchange. Here’s what’s making headlines.

ASX share market recap

It was a mixed day for the market on Thursday, the ASX 200 finished 0.2% higher despite trading up as much as 0.8% during the day.

It was the materials and consumer sectors driving the market higher, with BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) and Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) adding 1.1% and 2.8% respectively.

Woolies delivered a solid top-line result but trimmed its dividend. The standout was the buy now, pay later sector with both Zip Co Ltd (ASX: Z1P) and Afterpay Ltd (ASX: APT) reporting incredible growth and unique pivots for their businesses; shares finished down 4.6% and up 0.6% respectively after yesterday’s all-time highs.

Zip reported a 91% increase in revenue and an 87% increase in transaction volumes, whilst Afterpay delivered 103% in revenue growth.

I discuss these results and the landscape of the ASX BNPL sector more broadly with investment analyst Owen Raszkiewicz in the results recap video below:

Woolworths displays resilience

Woolworths delivered a weaker than expected result, despite a 6% increase in revenue to $63.6 billion for the financial year. Shares closed 2.8% higher. Net profit fell 57% to $1.166 billion. Sales improved across the board with Australian and New Zealand Food up 8.3% and 10.5% respectively. BIG W’s turnaround continued, growing revenue by 10.5%, whilst Endeavour Drinks added 9.9%. Management declared a slightly lower dividend at 48 cents per share.

My take: Weaker than expected, but defensiveness on show in the dividend.

Business is booming for Afterpay

Afterpay achieved underlying sales growth of 112% to $11.1 billion, while revenue was up 103% to $502.7 million and the net transaction margin came in at 2.3%. Management indicated that annual transaction growth is currently running at $15 billion. The company reported a net loss of $22.9 million, far better than the $52.4 million expected by analysts, supported by another fall in gross loan losses to 0.9% of their book. The incredible growth continues unabated, hitting 9.9 million active users and 55,000 merchants, but barely scratching the surface overseas.

My take: Another great result, but a difficult company to value.

Time to look ahead for Ramsay Healthcare

Ramsay Healthcare Ltd (ASX:RHC) bore the brunt of the pandemic with mass shutdowns of elective surgeries hitting what was a strong year to February 2020. Shares fell 0.5%. Ramsay reported a 43% fall in net profit to $337 million and cancelled its final dividend. Revenue actually increased 7.3% as the European expansion was included in portfolios, but particularly behind strength in its Australian operations, up 2.2% to $5.1 billion.

My take: Difficult year, but well placed for a boom in surgery, waiting lists and treatments post-pandemic.

Another messy result for Link

Link Administration Services Ltd (ASX: LNK) shares finished 9.5% lower as recurring revenue fell just 1%. Despite this, operating earnings dropped 17% to $294 million and net profit to $114 million. This resulted in a lower than expected dividend, 3.5 cents per share. The PEXA property settlement platform was the biggest highlight, with transaction volumes increasing 37% and 75% of all Australian property transactions occurring online. This supported revenue growth of 50% to $156 million and a tenfold increase in operating profit to $53 million.

My take: Messy result, dividend disappoints but PEXA remains a key growth engine.

US Federal Reserve loosens inflation reins

The S&P 500 moved another 0.2% higher overnight, experiencing a broad-based rally as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell outlined a new strategy for the US Federal Reserve and economy in general.

After decades of seeking, but ultimately failing to deliver on an inflation target of 2-3%, the central bank will now be more flexible and focused on stimulating employment, rather than prices. This will be achieved by ‘allowing’ inflation to run higher for periods of time, meaning the bank will not be forced to raise rates at the first signs of price, given the handbrake impact on the economy. The decision was well-received, as it ensures ongoing monetary support and a preference for jobs.

Meanwhile, Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT), yes Walmart!, joined Microsoft Inc. (NASDAQ: MSFT) for an official bid for Tik Tok’s US platform, sending both shares higher by 4.5% and 2.5%.

Back home on the ASX, expect reports from the likes of Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) and Boral Limited (ASX: BLD) in what will be the second-last day of August reporting season.

This article was written by Drew Meredith, Financial Adviser and Director of Wattle Partners. He owns shares of Zip Co and Link Administration. To get in contact with Drew, click here to visit the Wattle Partners website.

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Disclosure: At the time of publishing, Drew Meredith holds shares of Zip Co and Link Administration in his super fund.

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